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. 1984 Jun 15;251(23):3109-13.
doi: 10.1001/jama.251.23.3109.

Pertussis and pertussis vaccine. Reanalysis of benefits, risks, and costs

Pertussis and pertussis vaccine. Reanalysis of benefits, risks, and costs

A R Hinman et al. JAMA. .

Abstract

Using recently published information, we examined the experience of a hypothetical cohort of 1 million children followed up from birth to 6 years of age without and with a pertussis vaccination program. Costs associated with death or lost wages were not estimated. A vaccination program reaching 90% of children would reduce disease incidence and disease-related costs by 90%. Taking into account costs associated with vaccine and vaccine reactions, the costs are reduced 82%. The ratio of overall costs without a program to those with a program is 5.7:1. The benefit-cost ratio is 11.1:1. Because we did not include indirect costs, this is a conservative estimate. Until improved vaccines are available, continued use of our present vaccines, with careful attention to possible contraindications, seems the only prudent course to follow.

KIE: An analysis was performed on the experience of a hypothetical cohort of one million children followed from birth to 6 years of age with and without a pertussis vaccination program. The results indicated that a vaccination program reaching 90% of children would reduce disease incidence and disease-related costs by 90%. Based on a conservative approach that considered only direct costs associated with vaccine and vaccine reactions, the authors calculated that the benefit-cost ratio of an immunization program is 11.1:1. They conclude that, until improved vaccines are developed, it is prudent to continue use of present vaccines with careful attention to possible contraindications.

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