The dynamics of aging and mortality in the People's Republic of China, 1957-1990

Abstract

The Strehler-Mildvan modification of the Gompertz relationship between aging and mortality predicts a negative linear relationship between the theoretical logarithm of the mortality rate at birth (log R0) and the exponential rate of increase (alpha) in the age-specific mortality rates under specified conditions. This prediction has been generally validated using mortality data from the United States with respect to general and many disease-specific age-specific mortality rates by the method of longitudinal Gompertzian analysis. Estimated age-specific mortality rates from the People's Republic of China for seven years from 1957 to 1990 were analyzed using the method of longitudinal Gompertzian analysis. The results in this population further validate the Strehler-Mildvan modification of the Gompertz relationship between aging and mortality.