Outmigration for coronary bypass surgery in an era of public dissemination of clinical outcomes

Abstract

Background: Since 1989, New York State has disseminated comparative information on outcomes of coronary bypass surgery to the public. It has been suggested that this program played a significant role in the 41% decrease in the risk-adjusted mortality rate between 1989 and 1992. We hypothesized that some high-risk patients had migrated out of state for surgery.

Methods and results: We reviewed 9442 isolated coronary bypass operations performed from 1989 through 1993 to assess referral patterns of case-mix and outcome. Expected and risk-adjusted mortality rates were computed using logistic regression models derived from the Cleveland Clinic and New York State databases. A mortality comparison was performed using the 1980 to 1988 time period as a historical control. Patients from New York (n=482) had a higher frequency of prior open heart surgery (44.0%) than patients from Ohio (n=6046) (21.5%, P<.001), other states (n=1923) (37.4%, P=.008), and other countries (n=991) (17.3%, P<.001). They were also more likely to be in NYHA functional class III or IV (47.6% versus Ohio 42.7%, P=.037; other states, 41.2%, P=.011; other countries, 34.1%, P=.001). The expected mortality rate was thus higher than among other referral cohorts. The observed 5.2% mortality rate among these patients was significantly greater than the 2.9%, 3.1%, and 1.4% mortality rates observed for patients from Ohio (P=.004), other states (P=.028), and other countries (P<.001). These differences in outcome were not apparent between 1980 and 1988 among referrals from within the United States.

Conclusions: Public dissemination of outcome data may have been associated with increased referral of high-risk patients from New York to an out-of-state regional medical center.