Prognosis of childhood epilepsy in newly referred patients

Abstract

The aim of this study was to investigate the prognosis of childhood epilepsy and to analyze prognostic factors in addition to remission rate in a follow-up of newly referred patients. Two hundred eighty-one patients were followed for a mean period of 5.3 years. Overall, 253 patients (90%) achieved 1-year remission. The beginning of a 1-year seizure-free period was achieved in 77.9% by 1 year, in 84% by 2 years and in 88.6% by 3 years after onset of treatment. Early onset of seizures, symptomatic etiology, and neurologic handicap predicted a worse prognosis. In 44 of 253 children with complete suppression of seizures for 1 year, relapses occurred within the follow-up period. In one child with a relapse, remission could not be achieved in the 2nd year thereafter. In conclusion, our study shows a good prognosis for most children with epilepsy, especially in patients with idiopathic epilepsy and late onset of seizures and without neurologic dysfunction. Moreover, our data strongly suggest that the long-term pattern of seizure control is largely established during the first 2 years of treatment.