Human immunodeficiency virus in Uzbekistan: epidemiological and genetic analyses

Abstract

This study investigates the molecular epidemiology of HIV in Uzbekistan--a former Soviet Union (FSU) country located in central Asia. A total of 18,910,370 subjects were involved in an HIV serological examination through a population survey conducted in 1987-2002. Rapid changes in epidemiological dynamics and transmission modes have been observed since 1999: incidence rose from 25 newly HIV-infected subjects per year to more than 100 new cases per month within the first half of 2002, and the rate of intravenous drug use (IVDU)-associated HIV infection increased to 75% per year during the same period. Thirty HIV-1 strains, isolated from specimens obtained in 1999-2000, were directly sequenced in the env region. Phylogenetic analysis revealed a relationship to genotype A in 56.7%, and to 03_CRFAB in 13.3%; both variants have been previously reported in the FSU. The majority (85.7%) of these strains were isolated from IVDUs. The demographic history of the most prevalent HIV strain in Uzbekistan was inferred from reconstructed molecular phylogenies; exponential growth of the viral population size was thus observed to occur after the mid-1990s. In summary, detectable HIV seroprevalence remains low in the general population of Uzbekistan. However, the current study demonstrates a substantially increasing number of new infections, in association with IVDU, and an exponentially growing effective population size of the IVDU-associated HIV strain.